The US & Iran | Victor Takacs | May 7, 2019
The US has deployed an aircraft carrier to the Middle East to send a “clear and unmistakable message” to Iran. National Security Adviser John Bolton said the administration was acting “in response to a number of troubling and escalatory indications and warnings”. The deployment of the warship was based on claims of a possible attack on US forces stationed in the region, unnamed US officials are quoted as saying. Mr. Bolton added that they would counter any attack with “unrelenting force”.
In a statement, Mr. Bolton said: “The United States is deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group and a bomber task force to the US Central Command region to send a clear and unmistakable message to the Iranian regime that any attack on United States interests or on those of our allies will be met with unrelenting force.” He added: “The United States is not seeking war with the Iranian regime. But we are fully prepared to respond to any attack, whether by proxy, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or regular Iranian forces.”
The ship was already in Europe for war games with US allies that have been taking place since the end of April. So far there is little detail from the Americans of the alleged Iranian actions that have prompted this warning nor of the specific US deployments under way. It is not unusual for an aircraft carrier and its battle group to be sent to the Gulf. Reinforcing US land-based air assets in the region, albeit temporarily, is less routine.
Washington has itself been turning up the pressure on Iran over recent months; designating the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist entity; toughening up oil sanctions and so on. But the Trump administration’s goal is unclear. Its spokesmen insist that they do not want war with Iran but they can also barely hide their enthusiasm for regime change in Tehran. So is this US move an attempt to guarantee the existing, uneasy status quo ? Or is it an attempt to turn the screw even tighter?
Many critics of the administration fear a developing drumbeat towards a conflict which, they fear, could erupt either by accident or by design. The deployment comes amid growing tensions between the US and Iran. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told reporters on a trip to Europe: “It is absolutely the case that we have seen escalatory actions from the Iranians and it is equally the case that we will hold the Iranians accountable for attacks on American interests.”
He did not explain what he meant by “escalatory actions”, however he added: “We have good reason to want to communicate clearly about how the Iranians should understand how we will respond to actions they may take.”
What is the State of Relations Between America and Iran?
Last year President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew from a landmark nuclear deal the US and other nations had agreed with Iran in 2015. Under the accord, Iran had agreed to limit its sensitive nuclear activities and allow in international inspectors in return for sanctions relief. And last month the White House said it would end exemptions from sanctions for five countries – China, India, Japan, South Korea and Turkey – that were still buying Iranian oil.
At the same time the US also blacklisted Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guard Corps, designating it as a foreign terrorist group.
The Trump administration hopes to compel Iran to negotiate a “new deal” that would cover not only its nuclear activities, but also its ballistic missile programme and what officials call its “malign behaviour” across the Middle East. The sanctions have led to a sharp downturn in Iran’s economy, pushing the value of its currency to record lows, driving away foreign investors, and triggering protests. Iran has repeatedly threatened to retaliate to the US measures by blocking the Strait of Hormuz – though which about a fifth of all oil consumed globally pass.